Malaria Epidemic Model

What does this Model Represent?

This model represents a hypothetical village stricken by malaria. Spread by mosquitoes, malaria is one of the biggest threats to the health of the developing world. A malaria epidemic can be modeled by computer in terms of groups of sick and healthy, and their interactions.

What are the elements of this Model?

This model includes healthy villagers, sick villagers, healthy mosquitoes, and infected mosquitoes. The mosquitoes can become infected by biting sick villagers, and then can spread the disease by biting other healthy villagers.

How do I use this Model?

There are a number of parameters that can be set in this model, including death rates, birth rates, and infection rates. Once the rates are set, you can run the model and observe the outcomes.

What should I expect?

After a certain period of time, the populations will reach equilibrium as the number infected equals the number recovered, and the number dying equals the number born. The quantities at this equilibrium depend on the various parameters of the model.

Download the model file.